The Kings lost 27 games last year by 8 points or less. I thought at seasons end, that with just a little improvement on the team and a little more aging in the western conference, the Kings could win at least half those games, which would mean 13 or 14 more wins. In my humble opinion, the Kings have improved more than just a little. They have one of the biggest and deepest frontcourts in the western conference. It may not yet be the best frontcourt, but its loaded with talent.
Last season the Kings were around the 21st or 22nd best team at getting to the line. Remove Spencer Hawes and insert DeMarcus Cousins, and that alone should get us to the line at least 2 to 3 more times a game. Tyreke, in his second year, having paid his dues as a rookie, should get more calls this year. The Kings want both Casspi and Greene to attack the basket more, which should lead to more freethrow attempts. All these things combined could add up to 1 or 2 more points per game.
Dalembert, Cousins, and Thompson are very good defensive rebounders. Defensive rebounds mean less possessions for the other team and more for the Kings. I expect the Kings to be much better on the offensive boards as well, leading to more possessions for the Kings. Extra possessions usually lead to extra points. If the team can increase the team scoring average by 2 to 3 points, and at the same time drop the opposition scoring average by a couple of points, it could be huge in the win/loss collumn.
The other area that really needs to improve is the assist dept. More assists and fewer turnovers will lead to more victories. I expect Cousins to help in that dept with outlet passes for easy baskets off of a defensive rebound. I expect more chances at defensive rebounds because of better all around team defense, led by Dalembert as the goalie. Even if you say that Hawes is as good a passer as Cousins, having the skill and using the skill are two entirely different things. Hawes was a passive player, while Cousins so far, has proved to be quite aggressive. Hawes played as though he was afraid to make a mistake. I don't see having that same problem with Cousins.
I'm predicting between 40 and 45 wins, with the possiblilty, that if things fall into place, a shot at the playoffs. I may have to come back and eat this post, but I shouldn't have to.