Here's some more odds. If not interested in nitty gritty, all you need to know is odds we keep both picks and they are between 8 and 11 are
85.5%. Here is more of a breakdown:
Two Picks:
Odds we pick 8th and 10th >> 63%
Odds we pick 9th and 10th >> 14.6%
Odds we pick 8th and 11th >> 6.4%
Odds we pick 9th and 11th >> 1.5%
Odds we move up (possible swap) and 10th >> 8.7% (best case scenario)
Odds we move up (possible swap) and 11th >> 1%
One Pick:
Odds NOP move up and 8th >> 2.9%
Odds NOP move up and 9th >> 0.7%
No Picks
Teams 9, 10 (NOP) and 11 move Top 3: >> 0.001%
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Total = 98.8%
I did not include the 0.8% chance our pick is 10th (we keep) and the 0.2% odds the NOP is 12th (we keep). This is the other 1%. That is is 99.8%. Don't ask me where the other 0.2% went.
Also:
SAC pick: 89.2% chance of 8th or 9th.
SAC pick: 10% chance of move up and swap (?)
NOP pick: 95.9% chance of 10th or 11th (ours)
NOP pick: 4% chance of move up and lose (theirs)