I wanted to look at our +/- numbers, how the various starting lineups had done, and then how the team had done at various points in the game. Below you can find statistical explanations for several nettlesome trends and decisions the Kings keep coming back to, but its largely the diary of a middling team, not a terrible one. PART I -- On/Off These numbers stress not only the overwhelming importance of Cousins/Gay (although Gay's offensive +/- has plummeted as he has come down to Earth the last two weeks), but also show how Tolliver, Willie, and Ben have fallen out the back of the rotation. You can also see the "Koufos" effect, where his presence makes a massive difference for us defensively (and is likely why Boogie, who has been a big + guy defensively the last few years, is now having his impact offensively -- Koufos did the same thing to Marc Gasol in Memphis), but he's by far the worst main rotation player on the team offensively. BTW, we are again actually winning Cuz's minutes this year (+1.5), and this year we are also winning Rudy's minutes (+2.1) as well. If we could just do a little better in the 10-12min without them we're a .500 team. Overall: Gay +12.0 Cousins +11.2 Collison +4.7 Koufos +3.2 Temple +1.8 Barnes +1.7 Casspi -0.6 Lawson -1.0 McLemore -2.6 Afflalo -3.8 Tolliver -18.9 Cauley-Stein -23.4 Offense: Cousins +11.9 Gay +6.3 Collison +2.9 Afflalo +1.1 Barnes +0.0 Lawson -1.1 McLemore -1.2 Casspi -1.4 Temple -2.5 Koufos -6.6 Tolliver -8.1 Cauley-Stein -11.0 Defense: Koufos -9.6 Gay -5.6 Temple -4.3 Collison -1.9 Barnes -1.7 Casspi -0.7 Lawson -0.1 Cousins +0.6 McLemore +1.4 Afflalo +4.9 Tolliver +10.9 Cauley-Stein +12.3 http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/SAC/2017/on-off/ PART II -- RPM ESPN's "Real Plus Minus" stat is theoretically more advanced than the raw +/- stats above. Again here you see the two man nature of the team. then the solid pack of roleplayers hovering around break even, and then the fall off to the shakier pieces. Collison and Afflalo being down there rather than amongst the solid roleplayers is a problem. Ben has always done terribly by this statistic BTW. If they ever actually released the formula, I might even be able to tell you why. With League Rank: Cousins 4.94 (#10) Gay 2.29 (#27) Koufos -0.03 (#116) Lawson -0.51 (#158) Temple -0.54 (#162) Barnes -0.84 (#183) Tolliver -1.73 (#288) Collison -1.85 (#297) Afflalo -1.89 (#304) Casspi -2.17 (#331) Cauley-Stein -2.88 (#382) McLemore -3.41 (#402) http://www.espn.com/nba/statistics/rpm/_/page/11/sort/RPM PART III -- Starting Lineups The stats below make a pretty good argument for why Joerger keeps going back and going back to that Koufos/Cuz well. Check out the DRTG and Rebound% of those lineups. then pan down to the various attempts to use Matt Barnes at PF, and both the DRTG and Reb% fall off to catastrophic levels. Willie faceplanting this offseason has really left us with our same hole, and maybe in the end, if we did make a trade, bringing back a legit starting quality true PF might be a real target. Here are our starting lineups this year: http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/SAC/2017_start.html And here's how each of those combinations has done together on the year (not just as starters): Koufos/Cousins/Gay/Afflalo/Lawson (10 starts, 154min) ORTG: 105.3 (54.0 TS%) DRTG: 106.0 (53.7 TS%) Assist%: 58.0% Rebound%: 53.7% Koufos/Cousins/Gay/Afflalo/Collison (3 starts, 44min) ORTG: 97.7 (51.6 TS%) DRTG: 95.4 (54.3 TS%) Assist%: 54.1% Rebound%: 56.8% Cousins/Barnes/Gay/Collison/Lawson (2 starts, 21min) ORTG: 107.3 (49.4 TS%) DRTG: 122.0 (64.8 TS%) Assist%: 64.3% Rebound%: 45.7% Cousins/Barnes/Gay/Afflalo/Lawson (1 start, 55min) ORTG: 109.4 (53.2 TS%) DRTG: 126.4 (63.6 TS%) Assist%: 55.3% Rebound%: 45.1% Cousins/Barnes/Gay/Afflalo/Collison (1 start, 38min) ORTG: 118.9 (62.0 TS%) DRTG: 125.7 (60.5 TS%) Assist%: 65.6% Rebound%: 44.3% Cousins/Casspi/Gay/Afflalo/Lawson (1 start) -- played 6 minutes of 1 game (the Milwaulkee beatdown) http://nbawowy.com/#/team-level PART IV -- Quarter by Quarter The numbers below give credence to the impression that the team gets off to bad starts, but is tenacious. You can see our defense improving quarter by quarter, with a big jump between the first half and the second half (we give up 56.0pts in the 1st half, only 47.2pts after the break). And we win those second halves, which I think are played closer to the grind it out style that favors us. Maybe the solution is to have the guys play a warmup 5 on 5 quarter on the practice court before each game. BTW, on the season the Kings are a -2.0 Pts For/Against. But -1.1 of those points come from our 3 OT losses, where we were only competitive in 1 OT and have been outscored by 20 overall. In regulation we've only been outscored -0.9, which is well within the range of a .500 team. And in fact given our 0-3 OT record, we are basically 3 pts on the season from being 10-8 rather than 7-11. 1st Quarter Scoring: Kings: 26.1 Opp: 28.6 2nd Quarter Scoring: Kings: 26.0 Opp: 27.4 3rd Quarter Scoring: Kings: 25.4 Opp: 23.3 4th Quarter Scoring: Kings: 24.4 Opp: 23.9 OT Scoring: Kings: 7.3 Opp: 14.0 There were more things I was going to look at, but this thread is long enough already, so I'll leave it off here.